Monday, October 18, 2010

The Importance of the 2010 Election

The importance of this year’s election cannot be understated. The 2010 general election ranks much higher than any other election in this decade. Not only will voters be able to take a stand against profligate government spending, but will make a determination as to whether tax and budget cutters will make it into the halls of power. Consequently, moving our state and nation on the road to solvency.


Another great effect of this year’s election is how the reapportionment map will be drawn. After the dust has settled post November 2, 2010, legislators and the Governor will begin the careful negotiation of how the states legislative and congressional districts will be drawn.

Based on Census estimates coming out of Washington, D.C., Illinois stands to loose another Congressional seat. Based on tentative census figures the big gainers will be Texas (+4) and Florida (+2). Other states that will gain a seat will be AZ, GA, NV, SC, UT, and WA. Joining Illinois’ with projected loss of one seat will be our neighbors Iowa and Missouri. Others with a projected one-seat loss will be LA, MA, MI, MO, NJ and PA. The biggest losers will be Ohio and New York, both with a projected loss of two seats.

It remains to be seen whether that seat will come out rural Illinois or the City of Chicago. Based on past growth patterns, it is unlikely any seat will be poached from suburban Chicago. If one examines the current map there are two congressional districts that are egregious examples of gerrymandering. District 17 in Western Illinois floats from the Quad Cities area down the Mississippi River down to the Illinois towns outside of St. Louis, MO, then juts over to the Springfield, Illinois area. Currently Phil Hare (D) represents the 17th district. The other gerrymandered district is district 4 in the City of Chicago and inner suburbs. Imagine a giant horseshoe with large clubs at the tips. Louis Gutierrez (D) represents the 4th District. A young child could have drawn both of these districts much better than the legislature did ten years ago. This has to be improved.

I am inclined to believe that the seat should come out of the City of Chicago. Population growth has been greater in the suburbs. People have moved out of the city to the suburbs for decades. The Congressional map should be drawn accordingly.

The 2010 Election is very important, as we will make a choice between fiscal sanity or traveling further down the road to serfdom. We will also determine what type of legislature we will have for years to come based on the reapportionment issue that looms large on the horizon.

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