Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Election Day 2010 Observations

The U.S. Senate

It’s possible that the Delaware Senate seat will not be needed for Republicans to wrestle control of that deliberative body. The Republican candidate will not lose because she is the conservative witch of the east, as the dead-tree media will lead you to believe. She will lose because she became winy during the final week of the campaign and did not hold her opponent, the bearded Marxist, Mr. Coons, feet to the fire.

Based on polls in the closing days of the election, I am inclined to believe that the Senate will be comprised of 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans with crazy Uncle Joe Biden casting the deciding vote on important issues.

Campaigns’ Closing Days
Did you notice that President Obama and V.P. Biden spent much of the closing days of the campaign in deep blue states. This is a strong indication that the dems are in deep doo doo. Normally, a party’s base would have already been secured. From there the campaign would then circle out to marginal areas to secure close races. The internal polls must have showed something different.

2012
Believe it or not, the campaign for President begins the day after today’s election. Obama is already down six electoral votes from the 2008 contest, based upon census estimates. Texas alone is expected to gain four congressional seats. Consequently, four additional electoral votes for 2012 will be added to Texas’ 34. California on the other hand will not gain any for the first time in decades. Should Obama run for re-election the swing states he won in 2008 would be major battlegrounds in 2012.

Re-apportionment
If it turns out to be a Republican Tsunami today, you can almost bank on the fact that the Republicans will control the House for the next decade. Many states will elect Republican governors today and help them with split or fully controlled legislatures. This is the democrat’s worse nightmare. The Republicans are likely to put in play more geographically reasonable re-districting maps. Gone will be the gerrymandered districts that the Democrats love to carve out.

It will all be fun to watch, read, and listen to tonight.

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